Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 3.224683 3.838689 4.504281 5.275430 6.140226 7.076155 8.161587
2025-12-14 2.141952 2.896750 3.789246 4.906245 6.250138 7.798488 9.700054
2025-12-21 1.461844 2.252426 3.271045 4.641244 6.396160 8.528717 11.273693
2025-12-28 1.158550 2.006985 3.184814 4.866479 7.129654 9.994067 13.811627
2026-01-04 0.963077 1.861020 3.194609 5.199565 8.011910 11.691068 16.731811
2026-01-11 0.800029 1.721995 3.182718 5.485790 8.838028 13.351725 19.683610
2026-01-18 0.623840 1.514263 3.027054 5.533035 9.319241 14.564182 22.092031
2026-01-25 0.454890 1.268744 2.763438 5.373802 9.473270 15.318065 23.900043
2026-02-01 0.333086 1.074125 2.545772 5.249879 9.652575 16.096729 25.753947
2026-02-08 0.242436 0.912256 2.352836 5.134627 9.821576 16.851315 27.584871
2026-02-15 0.179209 0.789482 2.208323 5.078774 10.068610 17.718001 29.592058
2026-02-22 0.151115 0.750571 2.225968 5.310741 10.790207 19.316090 32.698598
2026-03-01 0.112462 0.662397 2.125185 5.319250 11.153221 20.404175 35.129496
2026-03-08 0.070394 0.531608 1.896336 5.051068 11.022134 20.718129 36.421992
2026-03-15 0.043255 0.430804 1.710742 4.839669 10.966152 21.137653 37.877113
2026-03-22 0.036182 0.418538 1.753808 5.108620 11.784949 22.986079 41.558415
2026-03-29 0.032347 0.421487 1.839690 5.476667 12.801963 25.186721 45.833995
2026-04-05 0.027708 0.415359 1.898083 5.788145 13.727257 27.262853 49.962953
2026-04-12 0.019700 0.375312 1.846052 5.845721 14.177486 28.567022 52.919024
2026-04-19 0.011396 0.313431 1.706958 5.684731 14.198167 29.150958 54.754558
2026-04-26 0.006315 0.263688 1.590037 5.558364 14.272327 29.819986 56.732822
2026-05-03 0.003225 0.221455 1.483151 5.439777 14.348637 30.486937 58.713568
2026-05-10 0.001595 0.190044 1.405020 5.382454 14.541299 31.356220 61.034981